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Topic: Is this year the most underwhelming holiday film lineup ever?
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Kurt Zupin
Jedi Master Film Handler
Posts: 989
From: Maricopa, Arizona
Registered: Oct 2004
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posted 12-14-2010 02:08 PM
quote: Tom Petrov
Rentrak is wrong.
1. Jeff Bridges (reprisiing his role and he is an Oscar winner)
2. 3D from the "get-go" and not some 3D conversion like Narnia
3. Tron is the perfect type of movie for 3D
4. Rumours are circulating that Tron will push 3D boundries.
If these four are true, and the reviews are at least good, we will see a $60m opening.
Tom Petrov is wrong.
Tron pushs nothing in 3D. Absolutely nothing! They could of done so many things with it, but failed to do so. Maybe they should of spent some of the money that they spent on the Effects, on the script. Jeff Bridges is a great actor, but he is not a bankable star, far from it actually. He has only two movies that have ever grossed over $100 million. Iron Man @ $318,412,101 and Seabiscuit @ $120,277,854. He has also only opened one movie over $20 million, that was Iron Man. Seabiscuit was next at $20.8 million. (Mr. Bridges Boxoffice numbers) I love Jeff Bridges, but he is not gaurantee that this film will be huge. I think it'll have a strong opening and a good 2nd and possible third with the Christmas business. Tron will probably open in the $40-50mil range, and its going to have a sharp drop after. I maybe wrong on this but I don't think I'm far off. I would be shocked if it opened north of $60 Million.
This year may be on par with last year as far as attendance and boxoffice receipts. But the quality of films coming out this year is not on par with last year. This is the worst summer we have seen in possibly the past 5 years. Sure, there are good movies. That happens every year, you always know that once the fall hits your going to see some good/great films. Thats a horrible argument. Also "Black Swan" will not do awsome when it goes wide, "Black Swan" is not for everyone. Ballet is going to turn off a number of people, it will do good but not gangbusters. Fighter has more wide appeal then "Black Swan" because of the stars and its a story that has a wider appeal to the general moving going public.
quote: Tom Petrov
Yeah, well it also had the highest ever debut for a Harry Potter film.
So, the drop means nothing.
This drop means everything!! Guys like Adam and Mike who are only going to show this film for 3 or 4 weeks, this means the world. A film that has no legs and blows its load in the first week or two makes them almost no money. Even for the megaplex's that drop means the world. After the first two weeks, I showed Harry Potter to an average of 8 customers a show during the weekdays at the IMAX. And I would say our average at the main side was in the 15 or so people a show range. Weekends were not much better. So please Tom, explain why Potter dropping 60% its second weekend, and 50% in its 3rd and 4th weekends means nothing? We are all dying to hear ![[Roll Eyes]](rolleyes.gif)
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